Software:
Futures Institute designs analytical computer models to support effective policymaking
through analysis of existing information, impacts of specific programs and projections of
demographic and other social and economic topics.
Spectrum is a suite of easy to use policy models which provide policymakers with an
analytical tool to support the decision making process. Models included in the SPECTRUM
system are: DemProj, FamPlan, AIM, RAPID, LiST, PMTCT, Safe Motherhood, GOALS,
and Condom Requirements.
The Goals Model helps efforts to respond to the HIV/AIDS epidemic by showing how the
amount and allocation of funding is related to the achievement of national goals,
such as reduction of HIV prevalence and expansion of care and support.
An Excel worksheet for calculating the funding required for an expanded response
to HIV/AIDS at the national level.
The Estimation and Projection Package (EPP), is used to estimate and project adult
HIV prevalence from surveillance data. The input to EPP is surveillance data from
various sites and years showing HIV prevalence among pregnant women. EPP is used to fit
a simple epidemic model to data from urban and rural sites. The prevalence projection
produced by EPP can be transferred to Spectrum to calculate the number of people
infected, AIDS cases, AIDS-related deaths,etc. EPP was developed by the UNAIDS
Reference Group on estimates, models and projections and programmed at the East West
Center. The EPP model and manual in English, French, Spanish and Russian can be
downloaded from the UNAIDS website.
An Excel-based database that evaluates the literature for HIV/AIDS interventions.
The Decision-Makers’ Program Planning Tool (DMPPT) was developed by the USAID | Health Policy Initiative in collaboration with the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) to enable decision-makers to understand the potential cost and impact of various options for scaling up male circumcision services. It calculates the cost of male circumcision services by delivery mode based on clinical guidelines and locally derived information about staff time and salaries, supplies, equipment, and shared facility and staff costs. The DMPPT also estimates the impact of male circumcision on the HIV epidemic. Coverage levels and speed of scale-up can be varied to examine potential cost and impact under different scenarios. The DMPPT incorporates sensitivity analysis for key inputs, including the impact of male circumcision on women. It estimates HIV incidence, HIV prevalence, AIDS deaths, overall costs, and net cost per HIV infection averted as a function of the number of male circumcisions performed.
